8/18/2010 Post Trading Analysis

The market started selling before the open and continued towards our 86.50 / 87.50 area.  The downward momentum was strong and the 86.50 / 87.50 became a bump in the road.  Price started rotating below the level and then dropped into our 82.50 / 84.50 area.  Price next formed a double bottom with little prints providing a good long opportunity.  After a triple bottom, price stalled at 86 just short of the 86.25 target for several minutes.  Additionally,  the VWAP was 86.50.  This was an interesting situation.  I knew that because price stalled at 86 for a long time, if price broke above 86, it would pop for a couple of ticks.  Thus the exit strategy was changed to moving the target out 1 tick to the VWAP and at the same time be ready to exit at 85.75 if I thought the market would not push through 86.  We soon got the pop through the VWAP target…