A Fed rate course reversal??? St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said yesterday that a “darkened” global trade narrative could slow the growth of the US economy, followed by a “downward policy rate adjustment may be warranted soon.” The bulls sent US stocks up into yesterday’s cash close.
Markets will be watching Fed speak closely this morning: John Williams @ 8:30am EST and Chair Jerome Powell @ 9:55am EST. CME futures predict a 50% chance of a rate cut in July with 2 more before 2020. That would be quite a reversal in Fed policy…
FAANG companies are in US lawmakers’ crosshairs. A House Judiciary committee announced a top-to-bottom review of US tech companies and the DOJ and FTC announced they would tackle large monopolistic companies such as Alphabet, Apple, Amazon, and Facebook.
Dem David Cicilline of RI said “The growth of monopoly power across our economy is one of the most pressing economic and political challenges we face today… market power in digital markets presents a whole new set of dangers.”
In the same vein, Apple announced they will be killing iTunes and instead split music, podcasts, and TV into separate apps. Earnings today include CRM, AMBA, GWRE, CBRL, GME, TIF, LE, HQY, and NAV.
The economic calendar is light with Factory Orders and Constructions Spending @ 10:00am EST. Volatility continues to tick up and if Powell hints at decreasing rates, the ES could move today. Size bias is a divergent short into Bullard’s 8:30am talk.